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March 28, 2025

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Gas Markets

Market Watch

As it took over the prompt-month slot Friday, May gas futures staged an afternoon rally, jumping 14¢ to settle at $4.065 per million Btu. “Weather forecasts shifted lower in the 11-15 day range along with a wave of large thunderstorms that are projected to make their way across the Lower 48,” Gelber & Associates said. “The front-month contract appears to have found short-term technical support at the $3.85/MMBtu level.” Analysts expect weather to play an outsized role in determining where prices go from here. “Because [storage is] below the five-year average, any weather issues — either extreme heat or cold — could keep natural gas on an upward trajectory,” Price Futures Group analyst Phil Flynn said. “On top of that, weather forecasters are suggesting that we could see another active hurricane season.”

The 12-month strip rose 6.7¢ to $4.546; the 2026 strip inched 0.9¢ higher to $4.401 (Futures contracts).

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The Permian's Waha Hub saw the most significant price move of the day, falling 22¢ to -21¢. This compared to benchmark Henry Hub cash prices that were up 3¢ at $3.89.In the Northeast, Boston-area Algonquin declined 25¢ to average $2.78. Meanwhile, Rockies leader Kern/Opal rose 14¢ to $1.68, SoCal Citygate advanced 12¢ to average $2.34 and Northwest Sumas lost 10¢ to average 25¢. In Canada, Alberta benchmark Aeco rose 17¢ to $1.57 (Daily cash prices).

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The US rig count decreased by 1 to 592 for the week ending Mar. 28, according to oil-field services company Baker Hughes. The number of gas rigs increased by one to 103, down nine from a year ago, while the oil rig count fell by two to 484, down 22 from a year ago. The Haynesville Shale rig count grew by one to 30, down six from a year ago, while the number of rigs working in the oily Permian Basin dropped by three to 297, down 19 from a year ago (Rig count).

Everett Wheeler, Washington

Natural Gas Spot Prices

Top 5 Upward & Downward Price Movements
OneokNW RockiesCIGEmersonWhite River HubNW SumasWestcoast Station 2El Paso PermianTranswes E of ThoreauWaha Hub-2500%-2000%-1500%-1000%-500%0%OneokNW RockiesCIGEmersonWhite River HubNW SumasWestcoast Station 2El Paso PermianTranswes E of ThoreauWaha Hub
Note: Mar 28' 25 versus prior day price: points moving up (33), down (45).
Natural Gas Spot Prices
Trade Date: Mar. 28, 2025 / Flow Dates: Mar. 29-31, 2025
The above figures refer to volume-weighted averages for gas deals done today for tomorrow's flow, or weekend delivery on Friday trading, at each particular spot. Change reflects the difference from the previous published price. Composites reflect volume-weighted average for all deals done in the regional grouping. Daily Composite Spot Wellhead is a volume-weighted average for all producing area pipelines less gathering and processing costs. All prices are in $/MMBtu.

Critical Notices

Sort:
Count of Critical Notices in Last 7 Days
Algonquin GasTransmissionColumbia GasTransmissionEl Paso NaturalGasKern River GasTransmission Co.Natural GasPipeline Co.NorthwestPipelineNOVA GasTransmission LtdPanhandle EasternPipeline Co.Tennessee GasPipeline Co.Texas EasternTransmissionTranscoTranswesternPipeline Company,LLCTrunkline Gas Co.05101520253035404550Algonquin GasTransmissionColumbia GasTransmissionEl Paso NaturalGasKern River GasTransmission Co.Natural GasPipeline Co.NorthwestPipelineNOVA GasTransmission LtdPanhandle EasternPipeline Co.Tennessee GasPipeline Co.Texas EasternTransmissionTranscoTranswesternPipeline Company,LLCTrunkline Gas Co.
Critical Notices

Natural Gas Futures

Nymex Henry Hub Future Price Curves
Mar 28, '25
May'25Jun'25Jul'25Aug'25Sep'25Oct'25Nov'25Dec'25Jan'26Feb'26Mar'26Apr'26($/MMBtu)3.63.844.24.44.64.855.25.4May'25Jun'25Jul'25Aug'25Sep'25Oct'25Nov'25Dec'25Jan'26Feb'26Mar'26Apr'26CurrentLast Month
Henry Hub
Change from prior day, Mar 27 '25

Baker Hughes Rig Count

Baker Hughes US Gas Rig Count
3 Jan 2510 Jan 2517 Jan 2524 Jan 2531 Jan 25 7 Feb 2514 Feb 2521 Feb 2528 Feb 25 7 Mar 2514 Mar 2521 Mar 2528 Mar 25 4 Apr 2511 Apr 2518 Apr 2525 Apr 25 2 May 25 9 May 2516 May 2523 May 2530 May 25 6 Jun 2513 Jun 2520 Jun 2527 Jun 25 4 Jul 2511 Jul 2518 Jul 2525 Jul 25 1 Aug 25 8 Aug 2515 Aug 2522 Aug 2529 Aug 25 5 Sep 2512 Sep 2519 Sep 2526 Sep 25 3 Oct 2510 Oct 2517 Oct 2524 Oct 2531 Oct 25 7 Nov 2514 Nov 2521 Nov 2528 Nov 25 5 Dec 2512 Dec 2519 Dec 2526 Dec 2590100110120130140150160 3 Jan 2510 Jan 2517 Jan 2524 Jan 2531 Jan 25 7 Feb 2514 Feb 2521 Feb 2528 Feb 25 7 Mar 2514 Mar 2521 Mar 2528 Mar 25 4 Apr 2511 Apr 2518 Apr 2525 Apr 25 2 May 25 9 May 2516 May 2523 May 2530 May 25 6 Jun 2513 Jun 2520 Jun 2527 Jun 25 4 Jul 2511 Jul 2518 Jul 2525 Jul 25 1 Aug 25 8 Aug 2515 Aug 2522 Aug 2529 Aug 25 5 Sep 2512 Sep 2519 Sep 2526 Sep 25 3 Oct 2510 Oct 2517 Oct 2524 Oct 2531 Oct 25 7 Nov 2514 Nov 2521 Nov 2528 Nov 25 5 Dec 2512 Dec 2519 Dec 2526 Dec 25202320242025
Gas Rigs by Basin
Rig Count as of Mar 28 '25. Source: Baker Hughes


Related Markets

Comparative Fuels

Comparative Fuels
Prices for Mar 28 '25

Spot Cash Electricity Prices

Spot Cash Electricity Prices
Today's prices as of Mar 27 '25

Gas Needed to Replace Offline Nuclear Capacity

Gas Needed to Replace Off Line Nuclear Capacity
283628833343313732643270334134273410Mar 20Mar 21Mar 22Mar 23Mar 24Mar 25Mar 26Mar 27Mar 28(MMcf/d)0500100015002000250030003500Mar 20Mar 21Mar 22Mar 23Mar 24Mar 25Mar 26Mar 27Mar 28NortheastSoutheastTexasUpper MidwestWestTotalYear-Ago
Note: Source: US Nuclear Regulatory Commission's Daily Power Reactor Status Report and ʶԳ,Historical data available via EI New Energy Data

Gas Prices, Power Prices and Spark Spreads for Major Hubs

Marginal Heat Rates (Btu/kWh)
21 Mar 2522 Mar 2523 Mar 2524 Mar 2525 Mar 2526 Mar 2527 Mar 25400060008000100001200014000160001800021 Mar 2522 Mar 2523 Mar 2524 Mar 2525 Mar 2526 Mar 2527 Mar 25Malin/COBSocal/Palo VerdeAlgonquin/NE PoolHouston SC - Katy/ErcotStanfield/Mid-Col.TZ6 NNY/PJM W
Note: Indicates the threshold heat rate for each gas/power pair. Below the MHR, gas-fired generation may be more cost effective vs. purchased power above. For holidays and weekends, the previous business day's values are displayed.
Gas, Power Prices & Spark Spreads for Generators Major Hubs

Renewable Energy

Gas Equivalent of Caiso Wind and Solar Output
19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26 Mar27 Mar(MW)01000200030004000500060007000800090001000011000(MMcf/d)1500160017001800190020002100220023002400250019 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26 Mar27 MarCAISO Solar PVCAISO Solar ThermalCAISO WindTOTAL gas equivalent (MMcf/d)TOTAL gas equivalent (MMcf/d) - Last Year
Note: Historical data available via EI New Energy Data
Note: Historical data available via EI New Energy Data



Gas Equivalent of Ercot Wind Output
18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26 Mar27 Mar(MW)02000400060008000100001200014000160001800020000220002400026000(MMcf/d)100015002000250030003500400045005000550018 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26 Mar27 MarWind Generation (MW)Gas equivalent (MMcf/d)Gas equivalent (MMcf/d) - Last Year
Note: Historical data available via EI New Energy Data
Note: Historical data available via EI New Energy Data



Gas Equivalent of PJM Renewable Output
18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26 Mar27 Mar(MW)02000400060008000100001200014000(MMcf/d)1200140016001800200022002400260028003000320018 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26 Mar27 MarPJM SolarPJM HydroPJM WindPJM Other RenewablesTOTAL gas equivalent (MMcf/d)TOTAL gas equivalent (MMcf/d) - Last Year
Note: Historical data available via EI New Energy Data
Note: Historical data available via EI New Energy Data




Weather

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