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Energy in the Age of Protectionism
Trump鈥檚 tariff strategy threatens to upend global capital markets, limit growth and permanently alter the global trade order. 博彩对冲 sees trade war threats remaining elevated during this fluid and uncertain period, yet Trump鈥檚 mercantilist trade views and desire to secure pro-America trade deals will remain. Of our three trade policy scenarios, we see a higher likelihood of a 鈥淨uick Walk Back.鈥 Our 鈥淓conomic Uncertainty鈥 and 鈥淒eeper Realignment鈥 scenarios are still in play. In all three scenarios, uncertainty weighs on investment, US credibility with trading partners takes a hit and protectionism is ossified in global trading systems.
Wed, Apr 16, 2025
博彩对冲 2025 Outlook
博彩对冲 experts share insights on our 2025 outlook regarding geopolitical risks, oil and gas markets, the energy transition, and corporate strategies to help you navigate the deep uncertainties of the year ahead.
Thu, Jan 16, 2025
博彩对冲 COP29 Outlook
博彩对冲 experts discuss the outlook for November鈥檚 COP29 climate summit in Baku, Azerbaijan, which will focus on climate finance and carbon trading. But it takes place less than a week after the US elections, and this will set the tone for the conference. Geopolitics will also feature heavily.
Thu, Oct 24, 2024
博彩对冲 2024 Outlook
博彩对冲 experts discuss our 2024 outlook for geopolitical risk, oil and gas markets, the energy transition and corporate strategies to help navigate the deep uncertainties of the year ahead.
Fri, Jan 19, 2024
What Next for Oil Prices and Opec-Plus?
Oil markets have been buffeted by price volatility, demand uncertainties and macroeconomic concerns this year. As Opec-plus prepares to meet June 4 in Vienna, what sort of market outlook does it face for the rest of the year? Will fundamentals or the macro environment be the main driver? How are financial players positioning themselves? And what changes in policy, if any, might come from the producer group?
Thu, Jun 1, 2023
Energy Trade Disrupted: How the Ukraine Crisis Reshaped Oil and Gas Markets
Oil and gas markets have been fundamentally reshaped by the Ukraine war, with sweeping sanctions, new trade flows and the emergence of a parallel market in Russian oil. What should markets expect this year and are these changes permanent?
Tue, Feb 28, 2023
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Podcasts
The Trump administration has increased the pressure on Iran, but that has raised the prospect of a war in the Mideast Gulf, the world鈥檚 most important oil producing region. But is Trump, who campaigned against US involvement in costly Mideast conflicts, really willing to go to war with Iran? 博彩对冲鈥檚 top US foreign policy reporter breaks down the administration鈥檚 thinking.
Thu, Jul 4, 2019
More than a year after US President Donald Trump withdrew from the multilateral Iran nuclear deal, the Opec member's oil exports have hit historic lows. Official crude sales have slumped below 200,000 barrels per day from above 2 million b/d in the first half of 2018, as the country's traditional customers have largely stopped lifting to abide with US sanctions, piling more pressure on Tehran at a time when tensions with Washington are escalating.
Mon, Jul 1, 2019
How is the blockade against Qatar affecting the Mideast oil and gas industry? How might oil and gas trade be affected if the crisis escalates?What risks does the stand-off pose for foreign oil and gas investors in the region?What is the significance of Qatar鈥檚 new plans for expanding LNG export capacity?What are the wider geopolitical implications for neighboring countries like Iran and Turkey?
Wed, Jul 19, 2017
Panel Experts:Jim Washer, Executive EditorEmily Meredith, Deputy Bureau Chief, WashingtonJill Junnola, Editor, Energy CompassBen Cahill, Manager, Research & Advisory
Thu, Feb 2, 2017
The main issues we will cover in this Virtual Round Table are:What are the key energy policy risks and challenges for President-Elect Trump?What can the oil and gas industry expect in terms of change from energy policy under Obama?Where will the new Trump administration stand on climate change, and on US backing for the UN鈥檚 Paris climate deal?How will a Trump White House respond to environmental opposition to fracking and new pipeline projects?How will the new president approach relations with oil and gas superpowers like Russia and Iran?
Thu, Nov 17, 2016
The main issues we will cover are:What are the prospects for an agreement at Algiers? How have positions changed in Opec and non-Opec since the Doha meeting in April? What kind of actions seem most likely?How will oil markets react?
Mon, Sep 26, 2016
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Videos
Interview with Cornelia Meyer, Chairman & CEO of MRL Corporation
博彩对冲 Chief Opec Correspondent Amena Bakr discusses oil and transition risk with MRL鈥檚 Cornelia Meyer on the sidelines of the Future Investment Initiative conference in Riyadh.
Fri, Oct 27, 2023
Interview with Tom Harley, Managing Director, Dragoman
博彩对冲 Reporter Yousra Samaha discusses oil and transition risk with Dragoman Managing Director, Tom Harley, on the sidelines of the Future Investment Initiative conference in Riyadh.
Thu, Oct 26, 2023
Our Take: Country investment risk and the energy transition
Thu, Oct 14, 2021
Our Take: 博彩对冲 break-even oil price analysis
Thu, Oct 14, 2021
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Discover how sweeping tariffs are disrupting commodities, technology, and energy.