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  • US-Iran nuclear negotiations are the most promising opening between the two in years. While threatening military action if talks fail, Washington is showing a clear preference for diplomacy. Tehran’s weakened regional position and economy provide incentives to negotiate. A deal would likely include Iranian oil sanctions relief. Tehran can likely increase production quickly, but we see a near-term, limited agreement as more likely, limiting potential upside. Yet, production and exports could rise to 3.8 million b/d and 2 million b/d, respectively, within six months if a deal were reached. However, if talks fail and the US fully returns to maximum pressure, output and exports could fall precipitously.
    Thu, Apr 24, 2025
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With ʶԳ's 70+ year history of reporting on energy geopolitics, our experts are uniquely positioned to identify critical investment, energy transition and geopolitical risks facing the energy industry.
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  • The Trump administration has increased the pressure on Iran, but that has raised the prospect of a war in the Mideast Gulf, the world’s most important oil producing region. But is Trump, who campaigned against US involvement in costly Mideast conflicts, really willing to go to war with Iran? ʶԳ’s top US foreign policy reporter breaks down the administration’s thinking.
    Thu, Jul 4, 2019
  • More than a year after US President Donald Trump withdrew from the multilateral Iran nuclear deal, the Opec member's oil exports have hit historic lows. Official crude sales have slumped below 200,000 barrels per day from above 2 million b/d in the first half of 2018, as the country's traditional customers have largely stopped lifting to abide with US sanctions, piling more pressure on Tehran at a time when tensions with Washington are escalating.
    Mon, Jul 1, 2019
  • How is the blockade against Qatar affecting the Mideast oil and gas industry? How might oil and gas trade be affected if the crisis escalates?What risks does the stand-off pose for foreign oil and gas investors in the region?What is the significance of Qatar’s new plans for expanding LNG export capacity?What are the wider geopolitical implications for neighboring countries like Iran and Turkey?
    Wed, Jul 19, 2017
Discover how sweeping tariffs are disrupting commodities, technology, and energy.